12/28/08

The Secessionist Meme Expands Some More

A recent post in George Washington's Blog is entitled, Will the U.S Break Up? This meme is appearing more and more, both stated and inferred. The meme-as-stated tends to come from the most inquisitive and bravest minds re the meltdown of industrial civilization; the meme-as-inferred tends to come from governmental sources. Both are hip to the condition, yet are light years apart with motives and interests.

Big deal, one may ask. One more needle post in the haystack blogosphere. True enough, but George Washington is a regular contributor to Alex Jones' Infowars (which is where I stumbled across the original post re-packaged as an Infowars article). Say what you will about Alex Jones' style and possible hidden agenda, his sites do crank out the hits. The notion of NAmerican secession is introduced to a wider audience and demographic. That's the bottom line.

To claim that, by virtue of the George Washington post and others like it, the NAmerican secessionist movement is gaining traction would be going overboard. Let's just say that the proper rubber is being placed on the vehicle that will in time allow for traction. For those already in the loop, the time to be preparing for such latent political traction is now.

12/26/08

GPC Train Wreck

Value #7 of the Canadian Greens reads, "Feminism: The ethics of cooperation and understanding must replace the values of domination and control." Yeah, right!

(With apologies to The Oz.)

12/17/08

Green Party of Canada: The Internal Revolt Begins

It looks like things have finally gotten to a crisis point over at the GPC. Fed up with an amalgam of political and financial mismanagement under the leadership of Elizabeth May, two ex-Federal Council members, Mark Taylor and John Ogilvie, have attached their names to what amounts to no less than an inter-party revolt.

Judging from their most recent posts, the event that pushed Mr. Taylor and Mr. Ogilvie over the line to take this action was the "coup" orchestrated by Ms. May to consolidate her power with a gaggle of obedient staff placements, i.e. non-elected, paid positions, comprising a new Campaign Committee. The crucial, non-democratic zinger of this new committee is that it surpasses and guts the duly elected Federal Council. To gain a clear understanding of what has transpired in the GPC and the logistics of same, it is strongly suggested to visit Mr. Taylor's and Mr. Ogilvie's blogs.

The GPC rebels may wish to take a closer look at the historic opportunity before them. It is now 25 years and counting and still no Green seat(s) in Parliament. (In a shorter time span an alternative political movement has been formed, morphed through several stages, and today sits as the government of the country.) Even if public support maxes out at 10% (and that's a long shot!), due to the non-existence of a regional base, there will still likely be no elected Green. Political power for the GPC is not only elusive, it is non-existent and will remain so. The certainty of a Post-Peak Oil world (climate chaos/change inclusive), financial and economic meltdown, etc. makes Green philosophy somewhat redundant and passe, i.e. the political offering of false promises that the latter scenario can be averted if only one votes Green.

The opportunity before the rebels is simple: withdraw your support, agitate and expose May's dictatorial opportunism, retreat to your bioregional/provincial parties (where the focus of Green politics should have been all along), and let the eco-political monstrosity known as the GPC die a natural, if somewhat financially sloppy, death. In other words, give May exactly all the rope for which she clamours.

The opportune event to highlight and politicize this move would be the GPC Policy Convention slated for Pictou, NS at the end of February, 2009. Hell, it's just a spit away down the road from Cumberland County.

11/25/08

Away On Business

I'm away on business for a couple of weeks, returning on December 8th. I should be able to check in every now and then, but will definitely not be able to post anything. See you then.

Russian Analyst Predicts Breakup of USA

Professor Igor Panarin, a leading Russian political analyst, has said the economic turmoil in the United States has confirmed his long-held view that the country is heading for collapse, and will divide into separate parts. If you don't mind plodding through the computer-generated translation, you can view the original Izvestia article. Otherwise, Global Futures offers an overview.

Leaving the obvious propaganda aside, if nothing else this is one more analysis that supports the regional implosion and constituency determination of North America as opposed to the breaking away of individual states and provinces. It is a position that was presented at the recent North American Secessionist Convention: Post-Peak Oil and NAmerican Regional Secession.

Professor Panarin, of course, neatly side-steps the further fragmentation of Russia as an industrial nation state in a Post-Peak Oil world.

Before the Bullets Start Flying

The title of this post is taken from an article written by Tony Allison, A Bridge Too Far. The article is yet another Peak Oil warning shot that is likely destined to get lost in the cyber hay stack of the blogosphere. It makes for an interesting read because, in general, Mr. Allison's web site cannot be considered to be a Peak Oil site and because the article points to the hand-cuffed initiatives that will be the likely response to Peak Oil by the Obama Administration.

Mr. Allison writes: "The Obama Administration needs to work closely with other major energy-consuming nations on a massive program to jointly prepare for the effects of ongoing global energy depletion." If read between the lines, the inference is that industrialized nations should incorporate the energy guidelines of The Uppsala Protocol, as prepared by Colin Campbell, the founder of ASPO International.

In a nutshell, The Uppsala Protocol proposes that energy, i.e. oil, consumption be downgraded on a sliding, annual scale by governmental decree to match the anticipated oil depeletion rate, now targeted at a mind-numbing 9.1% by the International Energy Agency. It is not suggested that one hold one's breath awaiting such an international undertaking. Firstly, the corporatist and globalist powers-that-be have no interest in directly contributing to their own economic meltdown (indirectly the meltdown is out of their control) and, secondly, The Protocol calls for the voluntary participation by industrialized nations.

Taking the latter institutional matrix into consideration, the circle for non-action would seem to be complete. Without a structured and agreed-upon downgrading of consumption, global competition for an expanding share of a constantly-decreasing pie funnels the consequences towards a zero-sum bull's eye, ergo, the title of the post. Does anyone doubt that declining oil supplies will be horded and stock-piled by the world's militaries?

11/22/08

National Intelligence Council Quasi Peak Oilers?

Such are the times that not even an institution like the National Intelligence Council can side-step the inevitability of a Post-Peak Oil world. The Council is a representative body of analysts from across the American intelligence community. It has just released a report called, Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World (complete pdf format).

The report states: "Non-OPEC liquid hydrocarbon production (of) crude oil, natural gas liquids, and unconventionals such as tar sands will not grow commensurate with demand. Oil and gas production of many traditional energy producers already is declining. Elsewhere in China, India, and Mexico production has flattened. Countries capable of significantly expanding production will dwindle; oil and gas production will be concentrated in unstable areas. As a result of this and other factors, the world will be in the midst of a fundamental energy transition away from oil toward natural gas, coal and other alternatives."

The report lays out the tendency for continued economic globalization, although with shifting power centers away from the United States, and the continued rise in global population by 1.2 billion which, in turn, will increase the demand for food by 50 percent by 2030. These, and other geo-political shifting tectonic plates are listed without full consideration of the limits and non-sustainability of these pressures, i.e. the likelihood of total collapse with so many points of critical mass in play.

An interesting confirmation of the crisis facing industrial civilization is the timeline put forth by the report. It matches the timeline leading to 2030 as identified recently by the International Energy Agency's World Energy Outlook and a paper presented at the Third North American Secessionist Convention, Post-Peak Oil and NAmerican Regional Secession. The year 2030 as a likely socio-economic, political and ecological tipping point was identified as long ago as 1974 by the Club of Rome's first Limits to Growth Report.

It doesn't seem to matter on which side of the political fence one takes a stand. The writing is on the wall. Loosely translated the writing reads: systemic shakedown imminent. As the Chinese proverb reminds us all: May you live in interesting times.

11/17/08

Post-Peak Oil and NAmerican Regional Secession

(A synopsis of this paper was presented at the Third North American Secessionist Convention, Manchester, NH, November 14-16, 2008. It is somewhat lengthy for a blog post, some 8,000 words in total. There is a link for the Word Doc version on the home page of the Novacadia Alliance web site for those who may choose to opt for that option. Reading the Word Doc is actually strongly suggested as there are several graphs in it on Peak Oil and global population depletion that did not copy over with this blog transfer.)


Introduction

These are exciting and critical times for the NAmerican secessionist movement. The movement finds itself in the media spotlight and public aftermath of “post-Palin” and “post-Zogby,”[1] for lack of better descriptions. The American debt-laden and seemingly criminal financial house of cards teeters on the brink, a major precursor of empire collapse, threatening to pull the entire global financial system into a vortex of unknown dimensions. It would seem that the NAmerican secessionist destiny is right on schedule. Viewed within the latter context, the secessionist political observations put forward in this paper are peripheral, marginal and cursory. To propose theoretical guidelines for an embryonic political movement there is, however, only one place at which to start. That is at the beginning.

At the very most, this paper reflects the views of its author as an independent secessionist. At the very least, the paper puts forward the political principles for regional secession as recognized by The Novacadia Alliance. The tentative founding of the proposed Novacadia Independence Party, to be registered in the province of Nova Scotia, is inclusive in the latter principles.

If any of the ideas and proposals laid out in this paper can be incorporated by other secessionist organizations or political parties is optional. As secessionists, we acknowledge and honor our political diversities, recognizing that the only principle that unites us is the principle of secession. As for the strategic and tactical predominance of recognizing the advent of the Post-Peak Oil era for the purpose of secession, such recognition may vary from political constituency to political constituency. This position paper is offered in good faith to NAmerican secessionists for consideration towards that end.

First Principles

NAmerican secessionists are agreed that the NAmerican secessionist movement is a consequence of, and response to, the collapse of the American Empire. This general consensus has been endorsed by the first two meetings of the North American Secessionist Movement[2]. It is put forward for consideration that this view is only a partial, though important, analysis of the secessionist phenomenon. A wider perspective incorporates the collapse of industrial civilization, which is global in scope and, of which the United States is but one player, albeit the central player. More to the point, industrial civilization is not merely in decline, it has entered the end-game. It is not the first time, nor will it be the last, that a civilization has outstripped its energy foundations, outlived its institutional purposes, and collapsed.

We live in an age that encompasses a colossal contradiction. On the one hand, there is the corporatist and technocratic thrust for globalization and a professed New World Order. On the other hand, there is the interrelated dynamic of empire collapse. Both tendencies stem from a diminishing supply of and access to cheap energy resources as evidenced by the imminent arrival of Peak Oil.

Both of these historical events, although diametrically opposed as political templates, are one and the same of a greater whole. The latent collapse of industrial civilization is the mirror image of the seemingly desperate and brutal grasp at the creation of a technocratic fascist state. It is a simple matter of political deduction to conclude that not both of these global tendencies can succeed. A clash of perceptions, of values and of political wills is inevitable. It is proposed that the balance of the 21st century will be the timeline for this clash.

It is necessary to clarify three premises that place the imminent crisis of a Post-Peak Oil world as the dominant condition and premise for the future evolution of secessionist politics. Even within the context of imperial decline, isolated and honorable positions such as ethnic and cultural identities, past historical wrongs, or calls for justice, freedom and liberty, strictly on their own and no matter how legitimate and worthy their merit, will not suffice to ignite or to carry the secessionist movement to completion. We need only look to the example of Québec and the waning political support for a cultural secessionist motive only. Such motive does not recognize nor carry the necessary spark of historical crisis.

Ø Firstly, only a historical catalyst of unforeseen magnitude that draws the latter secessionist motives together under the umbrella and guidance of a common political resolve will spark this new perception. It is proposed that this catalyst will be the arrival of the Post-Peak Oil era[3] and that the common political resolve will be the secessionist movement.

Ø Secondly, to a degree this is already happening. Numerous political, economic and social events of note are related to the arrival of Post-Peak Oil. The inescapable entropic dictate of the world “dashing towards maximum disorder” is in effect, though not acknowledged. The principles of thermodynamics are alien to the public. The events of 9/11, the consequent 9/11 Truth Movement, global militaristic positioning and saber rattling, financial and economic decline, the push for North American Union, all are sub-elements to one degree or another of competing national interests clawing at the leftovers of an energy-depleted planet.

Ø Thirdly, of the several factors associated directly with empire collapse, i.e. financial and economic meltdown[4], militaristic overreach, diminishing returns on social complexities, social decay, etc. all are reflective of, at one degree or another, the supply of, control of, and access to an abundant and inexpensive source of energy, in particular, oil.

All of these sub-factors, relative to Peak Oil, are already positioned in the public psyche, with marginal social and political responses generated. The corporate media have endorsed these events for public consumption. In the process, they have become acceptable and by now somewhat safe and somewhat manageable. However, a conscious and orchestrated silence on Peak Oil and, to a lesser extent the 9/11 Truth Movement and North American Union, has been, and is, the position taken by the corporate media. It is a simple, short leap to make in order to contemplate: why?

The advent of Peak Oil is concrete and inevitable. All fossil fuels are finite in nature. Based on analyses recently released by ASPO-USA, world oil production will likely hit peak sometime between 2012 and 2015. The controlled media spin that endorses cornucopian economists and politicians, the abiotic theory of unlimited oil supply, nor the philosophical naiveté, deficiencies and public deceptions of Green parties, can avert this fate. Peak Oil is a bullet that cannot be dodged. We are a heartbeat removed from the greatest calamity and challenge to ever befall the human race. Few, if any, are prepared for it. Representative Roscoe Bartlett, a staunch Peak Oil advocate, is on record as saying that not one in a hundred is aware of Peak Oil or its consequences. He is being far too kind. The ratio of the public’s Peak Oil awareness is more likely at one in a thousand.

The non-acknowledgement by the public of Peak Oil and its relevance as the dominant premise for secessionist political conduct is likely no more evident than in the Canadian Maritime provinces. Due in large part to a corporate stranglehold on the printed and electronic media, there is not the least public awareness of Peak Oil. Due to 140 years of successful federalist conditioning there is not the slightest secessionist sentiment to speak of, nor a historical memory of Maritime intransigence to joining “the Canada’s” via the 1867 Confederation. And yet, for secessionist political and electoral organization, this is not a problem and is of no great concern. The political sentiment, will, and corresponding action, will be reflections of the Post-Peak Oil condition, a condition that is yet several years removed.

For the immediate future encompassing a 20-year strategic window of opportunity, the NAmerican secessionist movement stands to be positioned at the political forefront of spiraling empire collapse. The following three-point argument for the long-range political structuring and future evolution of the movement slowly comes into focus.

Ø Firstly, Peak Oil is not the problem; it is merely the advance condition signaling the social, economic and political crisis of Post-Peak Oil.

Ø Secondly, it is the era of Post-Peak Oil that is the problem, and how it is prepared for is the pressing political challenge for secessionists.

Ø Thirdly, the NAmerican secessionist movement is one of two historically natural political alternatives and responses to the immediate 100-year era of Post-Peak Oil.

It is acknowledged that the third point is an extremely loaded assertion to make. Obviously, it begs the question: What then is the other natural political alternative to the era of Post-Peak Oil? The answer to that question is stark and simple. It is the full-blown, deep penetration, technocratic, fascist state. We have arrived at a historical crossroads of black and white options.

The opportunity to act on this historical condition becomes more exposed with each passing day. To capture the opportunity allows secessionists, at the very least, to embrace the only real freedom there may be. This is the freedom of opportunity.

During the anticipated era of Post-Peak Oil, our global industrial civilization will implode upon itself and render as a memory the vanity and arrogance of a short 200-year interval on the passage of time. To fully appreciate the scope of this passage of time, it may help to picture the length of a football field to be the course of human history and the blip of our industrial era measuring a half inch in width at the end of the field.

A carefully considered perspective on our industrial era sheds light on the limitations of a crass and blind technological determinism. When cast against the rich and wide canvass of the human mystery and its evolution, the .01% of time that constitutes industrial civilization, in spite of its social benefits, comforts and gadgets, relegates this era as an anomaly, an ontological Frankenstein, a spiritual waste land. The only benefits to be gained from this condition are the dialectical opportunities that the condition itself offers and a reminder that history is not linear, but rather that it is cyclical.

The vanity and arrogance referred to above is the delusion that the human family can live outside of, separate from, and above the natural world. We are about to be taught a lesson in spades that this is not only an absurdity, but that it is also an impossibility. The lesson to be learned is that we owe the natural world a debt and it is coming to collect.

The types of economic, social and political institutions that await us on the other side of this 100-year watershed are unknown and open to conjecture. The immediate challenge will be to actually arrive at that place, to crawl through several decades of social, economic and political upheaval, to arrive at the other side of the crisis. Quite literally, secession equals survival and survival equals secession.

Needless to say, this will not be a smooth transition. There is no soft landing visible on the horizon. Global resource wars are a given. Should any of these pending conflicts go nuclear, then it is all for naught, the Post-Peak Oil scenario laid out in this paper inclusive. There is no magic potion to offset the degree of hurt and suffering that will befall our communities and general populations. There is no painless quick-fix to soothe the pampered psychosis of an industrial worldview that has become tragically and brutally separated from the natural world.

For NAmerican secessionists the latter challenge will constitute now, and in the immediate foreseeable future, numerous political decisions. How and why do we undertake our political conduct and to what end? How do we actually perceive the continental disintegration of NAmerica? Are we aware of, and do we agree, that secession equals survival and survival equals secession? How do we determine, and then incorporate, politically acceptable policy directives for such a world? Do we possess the collective wisdom, courage and stamina to take on and own the terrible incentive to see clearly and then act accordingly? And if not, what must we do to gain these political assets?

Post-Peak Oil: The Secessionist Political Opportunity

The geological collateral of a cheap and abundant energy supply that has bankrolled the progress and unlimited growth of industrial civilization is half gone and cannot be replaced.[5] This is a geological and physical reality. Once Peak Oil is arrived at, the global production depletion rate is forecast to be at 2%-5%. Industrial nations will likewise be faced with a projected annual energy depletion rate of 2%-5%. Economic contraction, as opposed to growth, will be the order of the day. For the global financial and economic systems which are directly dependent on a cheap and plentiful supply of energy, this scenario translates into a problem that has no solution. It is not by happenchance that the Chinese symbol for crisis and opportunity is one and the same, open for interpretation firstly by how the context is viewed and, secondly, on which side of the line one takes a stand.

What is becoming an iconic image for our age is the Peak Oil bell curve. It was first formulated by M. King Hubbert in 1957 when he successfully forecast the peak of American oil production for 1971. It is now known accordingly as Hubbert’s Peak. The same geological principles and methods that were applied for American oil supply and depletion have been expanded to identify global supply and depletion. This simple graph identifies in a snapshot the basic principles and geological premises of Peak Oil. It does no harm to quickly go over these basic principles to ensure that we are all working on the same page.

Ø The supply curve is actually a staggered reproduction by 30 years or so of the discovery curve. Obviously, oil that has not been discovered cannot be produced. No major discoveries have been made since the Alaskan North Slope and the North Sea fields in the late sixties. The amount and quality of Caspian oil is questionable. The 400 mb of Arctic oil is conjecture only.

Ø The equation signaling the Peak Oil paradigm shift is so simple as to be understood by a school child. It is certainly not Copernican in mathematical scope, although it most certainly is in philosophical scope.[6] The equation is 2-1=1. Two trillion barrels of oil in the ground as created by geological conditions, minus one trillion barrels which have been consumed over the past 100 years, equals one trillion barrels, the amount left in the ground. Once it is gone, it is gone forever.

Ø The first trillion barrels were easily accessed resulting in a cheap and abundant supply, and acting as the collateral for global finance for the creation of industrial societies.

Ø Current global consumption sits at approximately 86 mb/d where it has been relatively stalled since 2005. Wild price fluctuations on the plateau of Peak Oil are to be expected and will be the norm.

Ø The remaining one trillion barrels will be more difficult to access resulting in diminishing returns and depleted EROEI (energy returned on energy invested)

Ø This results in an actual remaining supply of several hundred billion barrels, as the remaining 20%-30% may be too cost prohibitive to bring to the surface.

Ø The peak constitutes a plateau upon which the actual peak year has already occurred or will occur before 2015, depending on differing interpretations of public data released by Peak Oil analysts and the oil industry. A difference of several years on such an historical scope is irrelevant.

Ø We will only know when the actual peak year has arrived in retrospect, that is, by looking in the “rearview mirror” of reported declining production. Two straight years of declining production will be the concrete signal that we have entered the downward slope.

What Hubbert’s Peak does not readily make obvious are the following:

Ø Based on known reserves, if demand remains unchanged (which it will not, i.e. when the industrial growth of Chindia is factored into global demand), global depletion will be in 35 years.

Ø The 2030 projected demand for the United States and China to roughly double their oil demand to 30 mb/d and 15 mb/d respectively from current usage outstrips projected supply by 15 mb/d. This is not even counting the rest of the world’s demand. It would seem evident that something has to give.

Ø Of the world’s 40 or so oil producing nations, only a handful have not yet peaked, and most of these are in the Middle East. When the Ghawar field, the world’s largest field in Saudi Arabia peaks, the world peaks.

Ø Even if new oil reserves were discovered, i.e. the Arctic, to get to a level of production between 2007-2030 in order to sustain industrial civilization would require a cumulative investment of $26 trillion.[7] Taking the global financial meltdown into consideration, can we get there from here?

This quick snapshot of the Peak Oil condition is based on geological data created by oil industry professionals. CIA documents reveal that White House administrations have been aware of the pending crisis dating back to the Carter administration, if not to the Nixon administration. The purported 9/11 false flag attacks were, hypothetically, a direct strategic undertaking to initiate internally a military coup and, externally, the geopolitical and militaristic positioning for pending energy wars.

Global Population and Post-Peak Oil

When global population is incorporated onto the descent slope of Post-Peak Oil, a clear picture of what is at stake and of the social, economic and political turmoil that will be unleashed emerges.

Global population did not hit the first billion until 1800, somewhat into the industrial age, but not yet into the oil age. The second billion was hit in 1930, the third billion in 1960. Today we approach the seventh billion. For most of the people in this room, global population has doubled in our life times.

When global population is charted, the spike over the last 100 years becomes all the more evident and ominous. This spike in global population growth corresponds directly to the spike in industrial growth over the last 100 years. What becomes evident is that the degree of global population growth has been made possible only by the growth of industrialism, which in turn has been dependent on a steady supply of cheap and abundant oil and natural gas. It should furthermore come as no surprise that the spike in global warming, if overlaid on the population and industrial spikes, is equal in scope and extremity.

To return to the depletion slope of Hubbert’s Peak, it is possible to forecast a rough picture of what lies in store. The carrying capacity of a living system, be that system a household, a community, a nation, or our planetary home, is nothing more than that. Access to energy equals the ability to do work, thus to survive.

The interdependent relationship of reduced access to energy and population decline as we enter the Post-Peak Oil era is evident. If an oil supply of 75 mb/d supported a global population of six billion in the year 2000, an equal supply will support six billion at about 2015. If an oil supply of 65 mb/d supported a global population of five billion in the year 1980, an equal supply will support five billion at about 2020. If an oil supply of 45 mb/d supported a global population of four billion in the year 1970, an equal supply will support four billion at about 2025. And so on down the depletion slope of Hubbert’s Peak until the finite, global supply of oil has been exhausted.

Based on the correlation of past global energy consumption and population, the human race is very likely to be diminished by 3-5 billion people over the course of the current century. Most who make this prognosis hope they are wrong. Unfortunately, the data that highlights the relationship of access to energy and survival tends to trump such wishful thinking. The inherent political challenge of such a horrendous ecological purge is to be part of the planet’s inhabitants who survive the demise of the Age of Oil, to continue the ongoing adventure of the human race.

By making the dual-claim of global population depletion and regional secession, one runs the risk of being stroked as a Bilderberg stooge. After all, the purported New World Order supposedly champions both of these events as part of its mandate: firstly, population depletion to ensure the dwindling supplies of natural resources, in particular fossil fuels, for the benefit of an elite and chosen few, and; secondly, the undermining and eventual gutting of the world’s nation states in order to channel a future world government through the bureaucratic and militaristic global structure of the United Nations.

In order to pre-empt any such accusation, the following can simply be stated: a conscious, conspiratorial, eugenic effort to “cull” global population by unleashing an economic catastrophe, a nuclear Third World War, a designer pandemic virus, or a combination of all three, is light years removed from an ecological and systemic “purge” and correction, short of a complete die-off, by the natural carrying capacity of the planet, no matter how horrific such a correction stands to be.

Furthermore, nation state devolution is a single event seen either as precursor to global domination by the advocates of a New World Order or as the re-invention of geopolitical institutions to further human survival and social evolution by secessionists.

Again, to highlight the current historical contradiction, an alleged one-world government is diametrically opposed to hundreds of small, autonomous nations, although both global constructs require and envision the dissolution of the large industrial nation state in order to succeed. This contradiction cannot be stated emphatically enough. The pending crisis entails a showdown of worldviews with the large industrial nation state caught in the middle and cast in the role of historical albatross for both competing tendencies.

The bulk of global population depletion will be felt most severely and tragically in the poorer nations. Food riots in some of these nations have been occurring regularly; government granaries have been under armed guard. Large industrial nations, NAmerica inclusive, will not be spared the consequences of an energy-depleted world. With a pampered population of button pushers whose lifestyles are “non-negotiable” and who have little idea from where or how their several hundred energy slaves per capita originate, how could it be otherwise?

Let us return to the downward slope of Hubbert’s Peak and the 20-year window of opportunity for political preparation that it affords NAmerican secessionists. As one gazes through this window, I ask you to resort to your own imaginations, from whatever business, professional or life experience you come, to perceive what lies in store between this day and the year 2030. I ask you to perceive an almost unimaginable degree of social and economic suffering and political turmoil. I ask you to perceive of an economy shrinking at an annual rate of two to five percent, as matched to the oil depletion rate, with no option for correction. I ask you to perceive a world of double-digit unemployment and inflation. I ask you to perceive the confusion and the horror of a public that has been lied to, kept in the dark, and desperately seeking answers. I ask you to perceive how the physical consequences of empire collapse actually materialize and affect human lives when distanced from the intellectual comfort of cyberspace prattle.

I ask you to perceive an historical transition the magnitude of which has never been experienced by the human race. I ask you to perceive the political inter-relationship of crisis and opportunity. I ask you to perceive the stark severity of the political challenges inherent in this Post-Peak Oil era. I ask you to perceive the degree of political responsibility and related wisdom, courage and stamina to take on and own the terrible incentive to see clearly and to act accordingly, to harness a revolution of thought and social re-invention.

And lastly, I ask you to bundle these perceptions together in order to perceive the actual political potential contained within this 20-year window of opportunity for the NAmerican secessionist movement.

To clearly identify what we do, why we do it, and how we do it, it is essential to distinguish cause from effect and concentrate on the former as opposed to the latter. It is essential to identify first principles, the essence, the core nature of our movement and place secondary principles in their proper slots of secondary importance.

It is proposed that the meta-condition upon which all other conditions are dependent is the historical crisis of the end of industrial civilization, as is so concretely made evident by the onset of Peak Oil and the co-related implosion of the large industrial nation state. As such, the Peak Oil crisis constitutes a political window of opportunity for NAmerican secessionists. This crisis is the primary condition above all others. It translates into the opportunity to hinge the secessionist movement onto the advent of Peak Oil in the public consciousness and discourse, to evolve politically in tandem with energy decline, and to firmly position the secessionist movement in the public imagination to the degree that when one thinks “Peak Oil” one automatically also thinks “secessionist movement.”

This historical window of opportunity affords the secessionist movement a cauldron within which to stir and prepare the ingredients to engage in electoral politics. Until such measures are considered, developed, coordinated and introduced for public consideration, the movement remains largely dormant, frozen inside the Irish proverb: Every hound is a pup until it hunts.

If, over the course of the next two decades, NAmerican secessionists analyze the political landscape correctly and act accordingly, then by 2030 when the unfolding political crisis erupts like “a cobra stabbing at the sky” (to quote Arthur Koestler), they shall then rightly inherit, each in their respective regional, cultural and political jurisdictions, that for which has been prepared. The onus falls on secessionists to win first and fight later.

Novacadia

Politics, when all is said and done, is about turf. Particular rules of law, constitutions, judiciaries, fiscal structures, bureaucracies, social institutions, etc. are all sub-elements of an overriding geographical destination and jurisdiction. For secessionists, of course, the fundamental issue lies with the most proper, the most reasonable, the most balanced, or the most optimum size of the jurisdiction, primarily as relates to population size and only secondarily as relates to physical size. The most reasonable and most optimum size, in turn, translates into optimum rights and liberties, optimum safety and civic integrity for its citizens, and the optimum functioning of a free market economic system. This principle of reduced size is the bedrock of secessionist philosophy.[8]

When contemplating optimum size for national re-inventions on the NAmerican continent, it is essential to identify the regional parameters of secession, as opposed to individual state and provincial secession. To take the Lower 48 as an example, it is somewhat far-fetched to think in terms of 48 independent nations.[9]

The most recent regional designation to be brought into the secessionist discourse is the region of Novacadia. It is the region that consists of the Canadian provinces of Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, New Brunswick, and the Québec region of the Gaspe Peninsula, and the American states of Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont. There is an alternative designation for the same region which further includes Newfoundland and upper New York state that is tentatively called Atlantica.[10]

The southern states and the notion of Cascadia on the west coast are now well positioned to becoming regional designations as opposed to single state designations for future nationhood. The proposed secessionist designation of Novacadia is barely out of the gate. As the physical term-of-reference for the secessionist movement is the continent of NAmerica and, as the two notions of Cascadia and Novacadia straddle an international boundary, unique and uncharted legal and constitutional challenges abound. The same challenges may hold true for the prairie regions. To this end, the proposed Novacadia Independence Party has included a clause in its draft bylaws for party membership to consist of both Canadian and American citizens.

To aid the process of regional identification for the purposes of NAmerican secession, there exist at least two geographical models.

The first of these models is that put forward by Joel Garreau in his 1981 best seller, The Nine Nations of North America. Within this model, the southern states have been clearly designated as a region called Dixie, although overlapping into Texas. The notion of Mexamerica is likely very contentious. Cascadia still goes by the designation of Ecotopia as first identified by Ernest Callenbach in his novel of the same name. Novacadia is lumped together as an extension of New England (and is called such) and more closely resembles the geographical notion of Atlantica.

The second model is the bioregional model. Within this model, a political designation based solely on geographical factors such as mountain ranges, watersheds, prairie land, rivers, etc. quickly becomes convoluted for practical political purposes. Although the evolution of events and political context over the last two decades have largely made bioregionalism as a concrete political tool redundant, it is not necessary to throw the baby out with the bath water. From wherever it is possible to realistically borrow and most effectively aid secessionist goals surely does no harm. After all, natural and geographical designations have contained since time immemorial the cultural ingredients for nation identification.

There is a third geographical model that is of extreme importance. This model recognizes the same field of play of NAmerica, but does so at a polar opposite from the secessionist model. This model is, of course, the notion of North American Union with the related political appendages of the Security & Prosperity Partnership and U.S. NorthCom. As do secessionists, the advocates of NAU think in long-range terms of a Post-Peak Oil world, but with drastically different motives and goals. That the mandate of NAU is motivated by energy concerns is obvious to the politically astute. The vision for NAU is likely best symbolized by the proposed NAFTA Super Highway. This mammoth engineering concept linking Mexico to Canada is an entropic travesty and is as unachievable as is the political concept that allows for it. However, the bureaucratic efforts to proceed with both, by federal governments of both the United States and Canada, are well underway.

Irrespective of whatever the situation may be above the political surface, it is reasonable to claim that beneath the surface the two nations of the United States and Canada are in distress. The two national flags flown upside down are indicative of this distress. Quickly in passing, it is proposed that the pending official recognition of NAU by our respective national governments strategically works to the secessionist advantage, and not against it. This is so for two reasons. Firstly, the likely sanctioning of NAU in several years time is very likely to coincide with the initial stages of Peak Oil, therefore creating a perfect political storm for our little secessionist dinghy, so to speak. Secondly, by virtue of eventually finalizing NAU, our respective electorates in Canada and the United States will no longer have the option of resorting to their national political representatives with their outrage. New political and electoral options will be entertained, if not immediately endorsed.

In the age of Post-Peak Oil physical and social infrastructures will collapse, the infrastructure of the gargantuan state inclusive; they will grind to gridlock due to severely decreased energy input and flow-through. Business failure and unemployment will be astronomical, and the federal government’s tax coffers will decline relatively. This scenario is a general’s and a mainstream politician’s worst nightmare: the center will not hold. It is the meeting ground of the radical left and the radical right.[11]

Within the context of a Post-Peak Oil world, the identification of Novacadia as a future autonomous nation remains an element of conjecture. But we are all as secessionists, with our hopes and our visions, currently constrained by conjecture. We tread on uncharted political territory. There is no secessionist crystal ball. There are no maps, no charts. We are pioneers. We are the mapmakers.

The literature on how to deal with and survive within such a world ranges from marginal to nonexistent. As example, how does a society learn to concretely deal with a constantly contracting economy and exist within its means when all economic theory and discipline are based on growth and related fiat debt creation? No one knows. Literature on regionalism in the United States is sparse and what there is, as is the case with Canada, deals with regionalism and economic development. There is no literature on regionalism and economic meltdown. The one regional guideline that secessionists may resort to is that during times of crisis one looks to one’s neighbors.

As a conjectured rationale then for the regional determination of Novacadia, the following preliminary sketch is offered. It is a barely visible point on a blank sheet of paper. It will hopefully contribute towards a degree of endorsement by Novacadian secessionists and the eventual drawing of a map. As mentioned at the outset of this paper, there is only one place to start and that is at the beginning.

The combined population of the three Maritime provinces and the three New England states of Novacadia is approximately five million people. This is an optimum population size for civic conduct and administration as Leopold Kohr may have recognized it. More importantly, it is an optimum population size to house, feed and employ within greatly reduced economic parameters and expectations. Economic self-sufficiency will be at a premium. Within this regional population of five million, the three largest cities are Greater Halifax with a population of 370,000, Saint John at 122,000, and Manchester at 108,000.

The vast majority of Novacadia’s population is rural. With a pre-determined economic shift to a predominantly agrarian economy complimented by small-scale secondary industry in a Post-Peak Oil world, this is crucial. An agrarian economy, coupled with a small population and compact channels of distribution, makes the economic challenge of self-sufficiency that much easier to attain. Novacadia is novel in that political power already resides in the country, and not in the city. This is a political opportunity of extreme importance.

It is largely due to this particular designation of Novacadia with its rural nature, small population and relatively limited urban sprawl that the New England states of New York, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut have been excluded. The Second Vermont Republic made the same distinction with its initial hypothesis for New Acadia.[12] In a Post-Peak Oil world, with limited options in the governmental budget, the carrying and maintenance of a large city will be a liability. Also, if and when secession negotiations commence with federal authorities, it will be prudent to keep off the table a book value that the federalists see as an asset and Novacadians see as a liability.

Except for Vermont, Novacadia is endowed with ocean coastline which directly implies a seafaring nation. The craft and skills of shipbuilding are not completely lost. The natural resources to support this industry are in place. A serious development of tidal energy, as opposed to corporate posturing, could make Novacadia energy self-sufficient. The shared coastline more than compensates for a rough, but useable, highway infrastructure. Upgraded and new rail lines would be welcome. Most importantly, the sea is a cultural tie. It is a common point of identity. This cultural tie highlights a bioregional social dynamic that a people “are of place.” A regional identity is innate; it evolves naturally. It does not have to be artificially hammered into minds beginning at kindergarten age and relentlessly reinforced with gaudy symbols and social spectacles for the duration of a lifetime.

In many ways, the economic possibilities for Novacadia are merely a return to the pre-industrial economies of New England and The Maritimes when natural north-south trade relations existed. These economies were primarily agrarian and, due to seafaring capabilities, mercantile in nature and in practice.

With due respect to Libertarian secessionists, although the market and legal principles of free enterprise will need to be safeguarded, in a time of social crisis a certain degree of state involvement with social programs is likely unavoidable. This will be a precarious economic balancing act, especially in light of limited governmental resources and a new, deflated, non-fiat and unproven regional currency.

As a region that has largely been bypassed by industrial development, the peoples of Novacadia share a relatively undamaged natural environment and a shared history of hardships, of living within material means, and of a condescending arrogance displayed by the “more developed” metropole.

In a Post-Peak Oil world, in many ways, social and economic relations will be turned on their heads. What once was a liability becomes the richest of assets. Underdevelopment becomes an asset; a rural political base becomes an asset; traditional community ties become an asset; small population becomes as asset, and so on. There is almost a poetic justice, a long overdue karma of sorts, to identifying the Novacadian secessionist adventure on the very soil where European settlers first stepped to embark on continental expansionism.

In conclusion, it is not necessary for NAmerican secessionists to advocate a blind and groundless act of secession based on questionable and quite possibly reactionary and redundant motivators. There is little, if any, need for animosity that is rooted in past injustices. What is of greater tactical importance is to acknowledge the historical conditions for secession as they exist in the present, conditions which were not created by secessionists and which quickly approach a crisis and, as such, call to be acted upon. To undo the institutional construct of the large industrial nation state, an artificial imposition that has been in place for two centuries, is no small task. Fortunately, secessionists need not overly concern themselves with having to “do” such task. It is the historical condition with corresponding opportunities and synergies that will unravel the artificial identity of large-scale nationalism. Secessionists need merely to perceive such and adapt accordingly. This is the unfolding of history; it need not be taken personally. There is a clear and important difference of motives, a difference that may at some point carry crucial legal merit.[13]

There is much work to be done. There are no guarantees and there most certainly are no freebies. Secessionist adversaries are many and have at their disposal the full resources of the state. If, as according to the Zogby poll, secession is more favorable to traditional liberals than to traditional conservatives remains to be seen. Within the context of an energy-depleted future, empire implosion and related depletion of a nanny-state social infrastructure, the support of liberal, and largely urban centrists and statists could easily wane while support of conservative, and largely rural decentralists increases. No one yet knows how the hybrid political initiative of “radical right meeting radical left” will actually present and play itself out. However, the political hybrid does slowly begin to come into focus and, as with any other birthing process, will carry like dynamics.

The most dangerous adversary to be faced by secessionists and the one that overlaps all political affiliations is a massive, brain-dead, lumbering brute. This adversary is the Leviathan of large-state nationalism and its blind handmaiden, a fawning patriotism. Fortunately, neither are genetic pre-conditions for human survival and Pavlovian learnt behavior can, over time, be unlearned towards the establishment of new, scaled down regional identities.

For some secessionists it may be time to deal with the political schizophrenia of attempting to be both a secessionist and a national patriot; tourists will need to be shown to the tourist compartment of the secessionist vehicle. Once the Rubicon has been crossed, there is no turning back.

Most of the work to be undertaken over the next two decades will be to agitate and to educate, as the revolution we propose is largely a revolution of thought, a revolution of perception. People fear what they do not understand. Education will be just one of many political responsibilities for secessionists in order to placate those fears. As a simple example, is the public capable of understanding the secessionist dynamics inherent in thermodynamics and cascading entropy? Not very likely, but the public will understand the image of a runaway freight hurtling down the slope of an uncharted mountain. Scolding the public for its lack of comprehension, of course, accomplishes nothing.

As we go forward with our diverse secessionist initiatives to re-invent the political topography of NAmerica it is strongly and sincerely hoped that, however one may understand the notion of a God at work within their lives, may God’s speed be with us all during these turbulent, demanding and crucial times. We will need it.


Addendum: Peak Oil, Bailout Bunk, and the Coming Recession
By Tom Whipple and Steve Andrews

(Note: Tom Whipple writes a weekly peak oil column and edits ASPO-USA newsletter. Steve Andrews is a co-founder of ASPO-USA and publisher of the newsletter. This article is taken from the October 6, 2008 issue of The Peak Oil Review, published by ASPO-USA. Commentaries do not necessarily represent ASPO-USA's positions; they are personal statements and observations by informed commentators.)

The concept of peak oil started as a geological theory* that went like this: if you knew the amount of oil produced in the past, the rate at which it was produced, and roughly how much oil remained under the earth’s surface, the theory could help you determine when oil production would likely start declining. Over the years however, proponents and critics alike recognized that more factors than just the size of oil resources and the ease of exploiting them would determine when world oil production would peak and plateau.

In the inimitable words of Frenchman Jean Marie Boudaire, “it ain’t the size of the tank [the resource], it’s the size of the tap.” And a veritable suite of factors can tweak “the size of the tap,” or how fast oil can be extracted or produced.

Wars impact production rates. Iraqi production is down because they’ve had bullets flying over their oilfields off and on for about 30 years. Nigerian rebel factions attack and take down oil production facilities with alarming frequency. Nationalism has converted most of the world’s oil reserves to state-controlled national oil companies that in many places produce oil inefficiently. International and domestic politics keep the efficient, well-funded, experienced international oil companies on the sidelines, away from many of the world’s best remaining oilfields. This plus rapid inflation in the cost of oil production equipment and operations has resulted in serious under-investment in projects to produce new oil in the four-years-and-beyond time frame. (The upside here: “inefficient production” will likely lower the ultimate world oil peak and lengthen the plateau production period, thereby giving us more time to plan an adaptive transition.)

It now looks as if a new factor has come into the game, one that could severely limit the rate at which new oil fields are developed over the coming years. This factor is the financial/liquidity crisis and the rapidly deteriorating world economic situation.

At present, financial markets are telling us that without a “solution” to the current credit squeeze, a major recession or worse is in the cards and that recent meager growth in world oil consumption will likely grind to a halt. But don’t bank on further large drops in gasoline prices as the OPEC cartel is already pondering production cuts to keep prices in around $100 a barrel. While OPEC may not be able to produce oil much faster, they (read Saudi Arabia and her closet allies) sure can dial down production, force up prices and end up with the best of two worlds – more unproduced oil in the ground and more money in the bank.

Congress just passed a $700+ billion bill to free up the credit markets which were said to be totally or partially paralyzed. Some seem to think that in a couple of weeks, this bill will grease credit markets and the recession will be minimized. Many others, however, find this absurd. The US bubble economy appears to have problems measured in trillions of dollars, so bailouts in the 100s of billions are unlikely to have more than a short term impact. While an “affordable” bailout may eventually unfreeze some loans, it certainly will not solve the myriad economic problems that have been piling up for a long time. (Wake us when the housing bubble has fully popped.)
In recent months US and world oil consumption have been dropping due to high prices and the worsening economic funk. Whereas in recent years worldwide demand for oil increased by about 1.5 million b/d every year, that number will shrink to a few hundred thousand b/d annual increase for 2008. If the economic situation gets much worse, demand for oil probably will go into actual decline.

If, as seems likely, the omnibus financial bailout does little good and the world goes into a prolonged recession, then we probably are on the peak/plateau of world oil production right now. Demand will drop, production will be slowed, and new multi-billion dollar oil projects that are not already well underway will be delayed or cancelled due to lack of demand or capital to pay for them.

The world, however, will still produce on the order of 31 billion barrels of oil and other combustible liquids this year. That number would likely drop if the situation deteriorates, though we are still likely to be draining tens of billions of barrels from the world’s oil fields each year. But if current economic travails continue and new production projects slow, annual depletion will overwhelm annual new additions. Playing that scenario out, we would never again exceed the production levels we have seen in recent years. We would fall short of reaching 90 million b/d. Just keeping production levels flat may require heroic efforts.

Peak oil, however, probably has another even more important message for us. In recent days there has been much discussion of the “business cycle” and the “rebound” that has always occurred as each past downturn ended. Some believe that the rebound started last Friday with the passage of the bailout bill, others say in a few months, some say in “a few quarters,” or if you are really pessimistic, in a few years. No one outside of those who understand the meaning and imminence of peak oil recognize that the traditional business cycle of the industrial age is about to be turned on its head.

Talk of “rebounds” during an era when oil production will be declining shows a failure to understand a fundamental critical reality: we depend on prodigious quantities of cheap energy, especially liquid fuels, to run our cars, to farm and distribute our food, and to move people and goods by ship, train and plane. Unless we stumble upon some miraculous breakthrough—either in the world of energy supplies or financial market fixes, or both--we likely face a very tough economic transition that could last for many years. Softening oil prices of late will only serve to delay awareness about the need to proactively select a more intelligent transition path than the one we’re trapped on today.

Back in 1988, geophysicist M. King Hubbert, the father of the peak oil theory, said roughly the following during an interview: “we have a window of opportunity to change our oil consumption habits, but that window is slowly closing. Eventually it appears that we’ll have to deal with a downward spiral of adversity before things can get better.” If Hubbert’s words sound prophetic, let’s work to make sure that his “things can get better” prophesy also plays out.

* Some supporters of the oil constraints story are troubled by the demeaning linked use of the words “theory” and “peak oil.” We’re not. Other notable and highly respected theories that make us feel that evolving peak oil theory is in good company include atomic theory, germ theory, theory of relativity, etc.

Footnotes:

[1] Middlebury Institute/Zogby Poll, July 2008. Survey finds that one in five Americans believe that states have the right to secede.
[2] See: Burlington Declaration, First North American Secessionist Convention, November, 2006; and, Chattanooga Declaration, Second North American Secessionist Convention, October, 2007.
[3] Amongst Peak Oil advocates, the arrival date of Peak Oil is hotly debated. For the purposes of this paper, the arrival date of 2012-2015 is relied upon, a date corroborated by ASPO-USA. Even within a severe global economic downturn, the basic parameters of Peak Oil do not vary: global supply remains at approximately one trillion barrels and decreasing, while global demand remains at a population of approximately seven billion and increasing.
[4] The current financial meltdown with related bailing out of banks holding junk derivatives by G8 governments has literally unfolded on a daily basis during the writing of this paper. That a global recession/depression will follow seems imminent. At final edit, crude is trading at $65/barrel, a far cry from the high of $147/barrel in July. At an emergency meeting, the OPEC cartel decided to cut production by 1.5 million barrels in order to bring the price of a barrel in around the $80-$90 mark. The motive to regain lost revenues is self-evident. What is not so self-evident is that producers in Canada’s tar sands require crude prices at the $90/barrel level to show a return on production costs. The financial interests of OPEC coincide with those of the oil majors. Also note, that even with the projected economic downturn, OPEC forecasts 2009 demand to be at 87.2 million barrels per day, resulting in a net increase over 2008 demand by 700,000 barrels. Even within conditions of severe economic recession/depression, especially in G8 countries, global net demand is projected to increase. This is a strong indicator that the world is very likely on the plateau of Peak Oil.
[5] The Peak Oil breakthrough occurred in 1998 with the publication in Scientific American of a seminal paper co-written by Colin Campbell and Jean Laherrere. Mr. Campbell today is the head of ASPO International (The Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas). Other prominent names that have popularized Peak Oil and likely social consequences are: Richard Heinberg, James Howard Kunstler, Matt Savinar and Mathew Simmons. Peak Oil internet sites are numerous with the most respected likely being The Oil Drum.
[6] One has to wonder if the simplicity of understanding the Peak Oil equation is the motive for its neglect by the corporate media. The Peak Oil paradigm is “Copernican” in nature in that it tends to drastically alter the human perception of worldly phenomena. An argument can be made that social debate is about to shift from the Copernican stage to the Keplerian stage, i.e. from hypothetical Green philosophy to more concrete Peak Oil and thermodynamic philosophy.
[7] International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook 2008. It should be noted that of the $26 trillion energy investment in the timeframe 2007-2030, just over half goes simply to maintain the current level of supply capacity. Much of the world’s current infrastructure for supplying oil, gas, coal and electricity will need to be replaced by 2030.
[8] Leopold Kohr, The Breakdown of Nations
[9] Regional political determination blends with the principle of subsidiarity. Subsidiarity is an organizing principle wherein matters ought to be handled by the smallest, lowest or least centralized competent authority. It recognizes the idea that a central authority should have a subsidiary function, performing only those tasks which cannot be performed effectively at a more immediate or local level. The concept is applicable in the fields of government, political science, cybernetics and management.
[10] The notion of Atlantica has been championed for several years by the Atlantic Institute of Market Studies. AIMS is seen to be a right wing, neo-con think tank with the designation of Atlantica falling under a wider continental agenda. A fledgling Atlantica Party has been launched and, although the party steadfastly claims there is no affiliation to AIMS, the suspicion that the party is a shill for the latter is widely held in the Maritimes.
[11] The notion of the radical left meeting the radical right gained considerable public attention by an Associated Press article written by Bill Poovey on the Second North American Secessionist Convention held in Chattanooga.
[12] The notion of New Acadia was first introduced by Thomas Naylor, founder of the Second Vermont Republic, in a widely-published op-ed piece several years ago. The article has been incorporated as a separate chapter in his recently published book Secession, published by Feral House.
[13] In Canada, the option for provincial secession is recognized by the federal Clarity Act. Although heavily weighted in favor of the federal government, the Act nonetheless does recognize the legitimacy of a secessionist initiative. In the United States, the situation is considerably more clouded as to the legal merit of state secession. In all likelihood, a secessionist legal precedent may need to be established in order to determine the future of federal devolution. This historical responsibility may very well fall to Vermont as the state most likely seen to secede.

11/13/08

Third North American Secessionist Convention

I'm off to the Third North American Secessionist Convention this week-end in Manchester, NH (home of the state motto: Live free or die.) Gotta love that motto! For information on the short history of the NAmerican secessionist movement, The Middlebury Institute is as good a place as any to start.

The position paper being presented at the convention, Post-Peak Oil and NAmerican Regional Secession, will be up on this blog and on the Novacadia Alliance web site on Monday, the 17th.

These are fascinating times!

11/11/08

The Disappearing Male, CBC Documentary

That this should be a CBC documentary comes with its share of irony. It flies in the face of the CBC's subliminal (and at times, not so subliminal) feminist agenda. Oh well, it's a topsy-turvy world in which we live.

I do not have my own words at the moment to relay the horror that this documentary raised within me. The cinematic images of human sterility portrayed by Children of Men is reversed from female to male reproductive emptiness. The only words that sprung to mind on watching this documentary were those of Kurtz/Brando: “I cried, I wept like some grandmother. I wanted to tear my teeth out. I didn’t know what to do. And I want to remember it, I never want to forget.”

The state-sanctioned, politically-correct efforts to dummy down the male presence on the social template pale in comparison to the industrially programmed eugenics of the chemical and plastics industries. That there is a Peak Oil connection is obvious and hopefully a saving grace. In a Post-Peak Oil world the latter industries may succomb to demise and yet stave off this silent and monstrous extinction of the human race. View at will if you missed the original airing. The remaining parts to the full documentary can be searched at YouTube.

Elizabeth May: "Who me? I'm not to blame."

There is more fallout floating to the surface pointing to the internal strife in the Green Party of Canada in the wake of the recent federal election. For the full story, see: Green Party 'clearly unprepared' for campaign: May.

Could Ms. May be preparing the way for her exit from the GPC by blaming the 'underlings' for the party's internal meltdown? It is amazing how the finger of blame points in all directions except possibly in the one direction that really matters.

In the CTV story, Ms. May is quoted as saying: 'I intend to remain as leader of the Green party. My personal popularity with the Canadian electorate is something, speaking as objectively as possible, that the Green party needs. I did not become leader of this party to quit and, in so doing, watch it decline.'

Aside from what one may see as being blind vanity, the reverse psychology of the statement is apparent. Shortly after the election it was reported that Ms. May was going through the GPC's constitution with a fine-tooth comb to secure her position. Critics of the GPC can stand and cheer. With Ms. May at the helm, the internal turmoil can only increase.

Look for the fawning members of the fledgling GPNS to clamber to the rescue at the GPC's policy convention in Pictou in February. The squawks are all too audible that the local neophytes are being played like an old fiddle. The delegate knives that are out will be conveniently held at bay by a combination of location and timing.

Who knows? Within a year or two the Feminist Party of Canada may finally come out of the closet and break from the GPC to become an even more insignificant national rump.

11/5/08

Obama Victory

The lollipop of “change” has been offered to the American people and they have taken it, hook, line and sinker, i.e. President, Senate and House. After all, relative to: 1. the eight years of the Bush Administration; 2. the construct of social and political reality as cooked by the corporate media, and; 3. the limited scope of perception and understanding that are part-and-parcel of the spectacle of mass, large-scale democracy, how could the decision have been otherwise?

Change, no doubt, is in store in spades. The deck chairs on the Titanic have merely been switched from red to blue. Nothing changes, except for the spin. Relative to the global context, the change of administrations is about as relative (and analogous) as a change of diapers.

Democrat or Republican administration, the evolving condition remains the same: industrial empire collapse, a choking planet, financial meltdown and bleeding of the middle class, global military positioning, Peak Oil, 9/11 Truth, North American Union, etc., etc.

For NAmerican secessionists it's business as usual.

11/4/08

New Video of WTC7 Collapse

I suppose that actually seeing the charges go off and still holding to the position that 9/11 was not an inside job is the equivalent of actually seeing bone and brain matter fly backwards from JFK's forehead (Zapruder) and still hold to the position that there was no shooter on the grassy knoll and that the head shot was an exit wound. And people ask me why I live as a recluse in the boonies of Nova Scotia!


Watch WTC7 in How to Videos  |  View More Free Videos Online at Veoh.com

11/1/08

Remember, remember the 5th of November

Okay, okay so the American election falls one day short. Who cares? It's close enough to position this little nugget accordingly. V fans, rejoice! If the end is near, then so also is the beginning.

Recess at The Asylum

Some things are just too funny and stupid! The picture portrayed in the link below manages to connect from a good belly laugh and inane stupidity to a level of snapshot wisdom on the predicament of imperial decline. Enjoy.

Steve Quayle News Alerts

10/30/08

The Ghost of Thomas Jefferson

"I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around [the banks] will deprive the people of all property until their children wake-up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered. The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs."

Thomas Jefferson, 3rd President of U.S. (1743-1826), Letter to the Secretary of the Treasury Albert Gallatin (1802)

Within the context of the current global financial meltdown, this quote of Thomas Jefferson is gettng a lot of "air time" in the blogosphere. To include it in this blog does no harm.

For those whose curiosity goes beyond the front-page prattle of the corporate media, the following two articles on the financial malaise may prove worthwhile. Behind the Panic: Financial Warfare and the Future of Global Bank Power, by F. William Engdahl; Down the Rabbit Hole Towards a New Economic World Order, by Simon Davies and Donald Hunt.

The Internet offers numerous alternative red pills, i.e. news sources. To quote from the same literary source that gave us the "rabbit hole": "Feed your head."

10/25/08

Mind Artillery VI, EU Calls for New World Governance

Prior to flying off to Washington to meet with President Bush last week, French President Nicolas Sarkozy hob-knobbed with Prime Minister Harper at the Francophonie Summit in Quebec City. One has to wonder what was whispered as opposed to what was reported in the press. The following video clip may offer some clues.

Sarkozy and José Barroso, President of the European Commission, have placed themselves firmly at the forefront of the NWO. To say that they are "walking the point" is an understatement. The language delivered in the accompanying video bypasses all diplomatic nuance and niceties. The global financial crisis has placed everyone under the gun: you, me and the bosses. Things have gotten fast-tracked to a degree that would have been unthinkable as recently as several months ago.

These are fascinating times in which we live. The condition, i.e. the financial crisis and related pending economic meltdown, clearly draws a line in the sand for all to see, if not necessarily to understand. Once you step over the line, there is no turning back. This is the turning point. The Rubicon swells with anticipation.



For good measure, here's a clip of Sarkozy being met by Bush and his speech on the tarmac. Barasso lurks to the left. One can imagine him snarling, "Swim with the fishes." George W. looks somewhat stunned. At least he's not holding a child's storybook upside down.

10/23/08

Mind Artillery V, Michael Chertoff, Warnings of Terror Plot

Michael Chertoff, U.S. Homeland Security Secretary, is the most recent to warn of a likely crisis. Unlike other high profile politicos who have pointed towards the time period after the American elections, Mr. Chertoff also tosses in the time period leading up to the election.

"There's a general level of intemperateness in the discussion as we approach the election,'' he (Chertoff) said. "Do I worry that it could trigger in a disturbed individual a desire to do something? Absolutely, I worry about it."

Of course, the authorities must be on guard against "disturbed individuals" just as the Nazis were on guard for the "disturbed" Communist individual who torched the Reichstag. The irony of the comment made on behalf of the Bush administration would seem to have escaped Mr. Chertoff.

Full Bloomberg story here.

10/22/08

David Suzuki: "There shouldn't be a Green Party."

David Suzuki is now officially on record with the statement, "There shouldn't be a Green Party."

Mr. Suzuki's stance is not exactly earth-shattering, but that it is finally out in the open is. His motives for stating such are fairly straight forward and practical, as he sees things. Then again, possibly he is just paving the way (or contributing to the paving of the way) for Liz May to bolt over to the Libs. After all, one of the sponsors of the lecture at which he made the statement was the Sierra Youth Foundation. Few things are as they seem.

As was pointed out in a previous post, the sunflower's post-election petals seem to be shrivelling and falling off.

...and then we have the GPC's response here.

Mind Artillery IV, Globe and Mail Article, Opening Shot for SPP and NAU

Canada's "national newspaper" The Globe and Mail, has published an article under the byline, "A new U.S. chief, a new Harper mandate – and a new big idea." Nice touch that, sneaking in "new big idea" without once mentioning the words Security & Prosperity Partnership or North American Union in the entire article.

Mind Artillery III, Britain's Prime Minister Argues for Global Governance

Britain’s Prime Minister Gordon Brown tried to make the case that "The Financial Crisis Is Also an Opportunity To Create New Rules for Our Global Economy," as the subtitle put it. Very smooth, not quite as crass as "New World Order." Possibly watch for a shift in the global world-speak away from the latter.

Mind Artillery II, Colin Powel Warns of Coming Crisis

Colin Powell has made bizarre comments that echo the recent declaration by Democratic VP candidate Joe Biden that there will be an "international crisis" early into Barack Obama’s presidency that will test the new president by forcing him to make unpopular decisions.

Mind Artillery I, Joe Biden Speech

Sen. Joe Biden, D-Del., on October 19, 2008 guaranteed that if elected, Sen. Barack Obama., D-Ill., will be tested by an international crisis within his first six months in power and he will need supporters to stand by him as he makes tough, and possibly unpopular, decisions.

Mind Artillery Series

It should come as no great surprise that within the context of the current global financial crisis Western governments and their obedient handmaidens, the corporate media, are taking their relative steps on cue.

In standard 19th century, set-piece military strategy the opening move of one of two adversaries is always the artillery onslaught. The purpose of inflicting casualties is equal to, and sometimes secondary to, the psychological impact on the opposing adversary. The artillery onslaught is followed by ground troops, which in turn are followed up on by cavalry to mop up.

The three military metaphors of artillery, ground forces and cavalry are simple to understand in order to clarify the evolving situation of the “information war” that is in full swing for the public’s mind. By stringing together corporate media stories, alternative media stories and commentary, and blogger commentary in a series called “Mind Artillery Series” the purpose of the series will hopefully become self evident.

For those who are already “in the loop” the information presented in this series will not come as a great surprise. Keep up the good work! You already know where to go for your information. The primary purpose of the series is to nudge those visitors to this blog who are not yet in the loop towards taking that first, frightening step across their own individual Rubicons.

10/19/08

Green Party of Canada R.I.P.

The Green Party of Canada is bleeding like a stuck pig. Since the results of the party’s disastrously lead federal election campaign, signs of internal strife are overwhelming: disgruntled candidates voicing betrayal by Elizabeth May, the GPC leader; blogs popping up on the internet calling for Ms. May’s resignation; an insurmountable debt load due to political mismanagement; one of two GPC Deputy Leader’s, Claude Genest, openly admitting that the GPC was had by the Liberals with the Dion-May political flirtation and, most recently; over the week-end a past GPC leadership candidate and deputy leader, David Chernushenko, resigning from the party due to Ms. May’s “autocratic approach.”

If Ms. May’s leadership has finally brought to public visibility an internal strife and programmed internal inequalities via the pursuit of a questionable and dated feminist philosophy, remains to be seen. If so, then the evolution of the crisis may be linked back to the ludicrous 1988 proposal by the British Columbia Greens to field only female candidates. To this day, all Green parties endorse an internal authoritarian and condescending affirmative action which, to the naïve addresses gender inequalities, while to the mature smacks of non-democratic inefficiency by thwarting the best talent (be that talent female or male), for the sake of protecting the baggage of a tired and spent ideology. A mommy-dearest matriarchate is not exactly the pinnacle of gender equality. The useless bleating of politically correct victims is a far cry from assuming amazon integrity and self accountability. It is not the responsibility of a political party to succor needy waifs of either gender.

The electoral catastrophe may introduce the necessary purge to finally put the GPC, as an eco-political Frankenstein, out of its misery. The party’s misguided philosophical ownership of leviathan bigness by virtue of endorsing the Liberal’s national Green Shift and the party’s false promises to the public to avert the social hurt of a spiraling ecological meltdown are exposed for all to see. What becomes evident is that the GPC lie to the public is the most hypocritical, the most opportunistic and the most sinister of all political lies.

By the mere virtue of its federalist, centralist, myopic and nanny-state policies, the GPC has set eco-politics back 20 years. In conjunction with the damage done by Ms. May and her Griberal opportunism, at the very least the setback is now 30 years; at the very worst the GPC, in concert with the World Greens, has been primed to possibly become a Bilderberg patsy.

Eco-politics in Canada, and more importantly in its respective bioregions, have now come full circle. Philosophically we are at a place just prior to the introduction of eco-politics 30 years ago, yet just in advance of a very silent and deadly spring. Rather than pursue the juvenile notion of “saving the world” Greens may finally be ready to mature towards the notion of “safeguarding one’s immediate region.” Between these two political notions there are light years of difference in political perspectives, assumptions, visions, motives and, eventually, actions.

As for Ms. May, she will hopefully be offered a rickety ministry by some outback Anglican parish to provide for her family. That her political career is likely at an end, would seem to be a given. There is not a political party in the country that has a welcome sign hung out for her expertise. The degree of hatred she has publicly shown towards Prime Minister Stephen Harper as a human being, irrespective of the man’s political stance, and done so as a purported Christian has a tendency to deliver its own just karma. Contained in the one are the many. In the end, what is sacred will be revealed as surely as what is profane. That her legacy will be to have sparked the demise through her own “autocratic” vanity of an eco-political pretender and dinosaur seems a just payback. By ultimately freeing up the best and bravest Green minds, the North American secessionist movement owes Ms. May due gratitude.

10/17/08

Rural Nova Scotia: A Parochial Heaven

Yesterday the New Glasgow News (home of Elizabeth May's Central Nova rout) ran a short, front-page story on an exercise carried out by the local police SWAT Team. It was a harmless article in itself, but what struck me was the image presented to the public, especially taking into consideration the context. The context is a pending economic collapse and rural Nova Scotia. I commented in the article's public forum accordingly. Well, didn't that release a mini shit storm! The full exchange of "opinions" is laid out below. Anyone wanting to go to original story, it is here.


Sebastian Ronin from Nova Scotia writes: Even in the boonies of Nova Scotia are the black-suited Praetorians now given media exposure. Prepare the public mind and its will follows accordingly. Maybe someone can ask Pete MacKay, should he hold as Minister of Defence in the new cabinet, when we can expect the first exchange of Canadian and American ground troops on each other's national soil, as is now entrenched in the military mandate of US NorthCom. Local military families can look forward to their loved ones patrolling the streets in Ohio. Is someone expecting a severe economic depression? A bit of turmoil in the streets perhaps?
Posted 16/10/2008 at 5:29 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Steve from Pictou County, Nova Scotia writes: Mr. Ronin, are you for real? How about talking in lay terms instead of writing some piece of literature intended for PH.Ds. If you are attempting to appeal to the masses, as I assume you are on here, I suggest you take it down a notch. Are you trying to reach the general reader of the News or writing a dissertation? I have a university degree and I find it a stretch to follow your arguments at times. We should not need Coles notes to attempt to explanation what it is you are trying to communicate. I never did care for Shakespeare. I suggest you stop the fear mongering. The idea of having Canadian military troops on U.S. soil is ludicrous, even in desperate economic times should they even materialize. Are you trying to predict the U.S. will be under martial law? Even so, the U.S. is quite capable of policing itself, why would Canadian troops be patrolling the streets of the U.S? I am sure they would not be well received. Was Ohio picked at random? I am not quite ready to accept your argument for the fail of the US Empire, especially when there is no apparent super power to take its place. China? Well, I need not go further than that.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 9:02 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Sebastian Ronin from Nova Scotia writes: Steve, you obviously have a keyboard and monitor in front of you. The Internet and Google search are wonderful tools. You may wish to use them while we, i.e. the public, still can. I treat adults as adults. Out of respect for the Other's integrity, I am loathe to hand holding. You make your bed, I make mine. However, just to point you in a direction (be it right or not is up to you), optional troop exchange by Canadian and American troops on each other's soil is on the books. If you care to, Google US NorthCom. Yes, Ohio was a random selection.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 9:21 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Sebastian Ronin from Nova Scotia writes: Steve re 'Even so, the U.S. is quite capable of policing itself, why would Canadian troops be patrolling the streets of the U.S?' br br At first it was thought that the option for troop exchange was to get around the legalities of posse comitatus, i.e. American troops cannot be used against American citizens. That has since been gutted. As such, and again under the command of US NorthCom, the Iraq-seasoned 3rd Infantry Division's 1st Brigade Combat Team, has been redeployed to secure 'the homeland' in case of 'terrorist' threats. br br I am not fear mongering, merely offering an alternative picture of the world, one that rarely if ever makes the pages of the corporate media, The News inclusive. There are many alternative news sites. I strongly suggest: www.globalresearch.ca
Posted 16/10/2008 at 9:36 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Lee from NS writes: Gee, I thought this was just about a drill and here the world is ending and our police force is practicing on old folks? Wow, what a stretch.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 9:45 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Sebastian Ronin from Nova Scotia writes: Lee: What matters is the image, not the exercise they were doing. Would you want one of these thugs knocking on your door? Or are you, as most people, one of the 'good Germans?'
Posted 16/10/2008 at 10:01 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Jack from NG, NS writes: THUGS? SR you have got to be kidding. They are trained to save lives. They are dressed like that for their and your protection. They have no idea how the offender is positioned upstairs (or armed) and are adopting a safe approach. It's obvious from your last comment that if you were the victim you would rather they not show up to save your life or they would be dressed in pink outfits and be holding flowers.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 10:19 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Tim from PC writes: Sebastian, give your head a shake man. All you are doing is overreacting and spewing off at the gums. You cannot be serious. Thugs?? come on, these are the guys training to stop the thugs. You need to get out more instead of sitting in your house on your computer spewing off crazy conspiracy theroies.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 10:35 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Tim from PC writes: Also SR, this is standard gear for swat teams. If they were to come to your house they wouldnt be knocking on the door gimme a break. They are training for situations such as hostages or an armed person in the house. What they have on is called protection. Would rather these guys show up in plain clothes and get blown away. Man on Man.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 10:40 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Just me from NS writes: I want what he had for breakfast today, not one of his posts on any story today makes any sense. This should be a reminder to everyone...Read the labels on all mediaication before taking it.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 10:46 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Sebastian Ronin from Nova Scotia writes: Jack and Tim: No doubt the men behind the uniforms are good guys. You may know them, they are respected in their communities, you may play a game of pick-up hockey with them every now and then. But always remember this: the state retains the right of force and violence, things that are 'against the law' for you and me. When those uniforms are put on the INDIVIDUAL with whom you may play hockey is out the window. Again, I suggest look at the image. Do you really think that much robocop gear is necessary to take down some grinning wimp who happens to have a grow-op going on in the basement? BTW, I'm out quite a bit. Nice advantage of having a home-based business is that I can jump back and forth from my shop or the wood pile to here.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 10:50 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Steve from Pictou County, Nova Scotia writes: The last few comments prove my first post - Mr. Ronin is speaking over most people's heads. From what I gathered he viewed the picture featured in this news article and made comments that we better get used to seeing the mean in black/blue uniforms, not in a protective role but in a suppressive role. I believe he is eluding to the world slipping into a severe global depression and Canada and the U.S. being under a police state and martial law. Far fetched I know. He also alluded to 'The good Germans'. I am assuming he is drawing a parallel to the visions of Nazi Germany for the master race to the accumulation of wealth of a few 'The modern day Nazi German' to suppressive the lower classes. In lay terms, I think Mr. Ronin is predicting the fall of the U.S. States Empire. When this happens the low to middle class will attempt a revolution to 'take back the wealth'. A police state/martial law will be enacted to protect those wealthy few 'the good Germans' with military suppressing those of the low to middle class, a Civil War prehaps. He is predicting to get use to seeing men like above in a suppression role, not protecting. Is my interpretation correct Mr. Ronin? These are not my views, just an interpretation of Mr. Ronin's arguments. They are a little far fetched for me to accept and way off topic of this article.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 10:55 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Jack from NG, NS writes: SR I take it you have the magical formula for how much gear is needed per hostage event. I would rather they show up fully prepared and be able to do the job they are trained to do. The reason for the amount of gear is simple. At no time will they know when the threat will escalate or decrease. Also by now you would have figured out that the first officer on scene would have called for this backup as that's what they are trained to do, and yes the gear is what comes with them. Remember if they get hurt, they are of no use to no one including the victim. Safety first!
Posted 16/10/2008 at 11:02 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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My Opinion from stupidville, Nova Scotia writes: Mr. Ronin, if the swat team were pictured without appropriate attire wouldn't you be one of the first to comment? They are creating a life like situation, that is the protection they must wear. Would you bust into a house where someone had a little grow op in a tu tu? That person who has the grow op could be protecting themselves/their crops. People who harvest drugs can also have firearms. For that matter anyone can have firearms!
Posted 16/10/2008 at 11:11 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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dan from ns writes: ok, ok lets all settle down here and loosen our tin-foil helmets a little.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 11:12 AM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Wife Rutledge from New Glasgow, Nova Scotia writes: To S Ronin's comments regarding the thugs knocking on your door...my husband is a Police Office and as his wife and the father of my children I take great offense that you would label officers of the law as thugs.
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Tim from PC writes: Don't worry Mrs. Rutledge, Mr. Ronin is just a serial ranter. he just types these posts to read his own obscure thoughts. He somehow turned this picture into all of america breaking down and all h ell breaking loose. Don't put much stock into anything this mn has to say.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 1:58 PM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Jimmie from N.S. writes: S.R., I have seen these guys in action on a tiny little street where there was an attempted murder and I thank God they were there because no one knew where the shooters were. Our street was alot safer when they did arrive!!! I take offense to your comment too! You might need these guys in your neighborhood someday....
Posted 16/10/2008 at 2:23 PM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Sebastian Ronin from Nova Scotia writes: Okay, everyone, let's chill. Firstly, Steve, you are pretty close. The one thing were you are a tad off is in the understanding of 'good Germans.' It is a term commonly shared amongst historians. It refers to the millions of silent Germans who naively stood by and allowed the rise of Naziism with the common belief of, 'I'm a good German. Why would they harm me?' Wife Rutledge, if you read all of my posts you will have noticed that as individuals the human beings beneath those robocop suits are good guys. I could probably enjoy a cup of coffee with them. But if push comes to shove, they serve the state. As a hypothetical example, if you happened to be a war protester expressing your beliefs at a rally that got out of hand and, if your husband happened to be on duty that day and was called to suppress the protest, you would find yourself on the receiving end of your husband's shield. When wearing that uniform he serves the state, not you, and not your family. Jimmie, no doubt they will be needed in the community some day to restore order. Personally, I foresee some type of militia. The question is: on whose side will they serve and on whose behalf will they restore order. =;-D
Posted 16/10/2008 at 3:15 PM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Tim from PC writes: My lord Sebastian, give it a rest, what are you going to predict next? Armageddon? Geez man society is not going to crumble like you seem to think it is.
Posted 16/10/2008 at 3:47 PM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Leigh from Pictou County, Nova Scotia writes: One should send Mr. Ronin on a ride-along with these thugs without gear and then with gear, and see which he prefers. My guess after the first ride-along he would be so quick to call these officers thugs. Thugs usually don't have batons and shields. lol
Posted 16/10/2008 at 5:48 PM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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Leigh from Pictou County, Nova Scotia writes: Sorry, should have read ... would'nt be so quick to...
Posted 16/10/2008 at 5:50 PM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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eb from pei writes: I am totally disgusted by ronins total disrespect of swat officers JR, they risk their lives to save your sorry butt my boyfriend is a swat cop and he thinks you are a MORON!! get a life!! try their shoes on for size you will definetely get a dose of reality biting you in the rear!!!!!
Posted 16/10/2008 at 8:20 PM Alert an Editor Link to comment
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eb from pei writes: I agree with wife rutledge ronin is a vulgur little man and has nothing better to do do than bash our husbands and boyfriends on the force.he doesn/'t know anything about them we do. i hope othe officers families see his nasty bashing so they can go after ronin too .
Posted 16/10/2008 at 8:26 PM Alert an Editor Link to comment